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Multi-breed Genetic Evaluation powered by BOLT




         Are the New BOLT-Derived EPDs More Accurate Than Previous Cornell EPDs?


                       By Mahdi Saatchi, Rohan L. Fernando, Lauren Hyde, Jackie Atkins, Steve McGuire,
                Wade Shafer,  Matt L. Spangler, and Bruce Golden, IGS Genetic Evaluation Team and Consultants.

                               The ASA and International Genetic Solution  animal’s genome (or genes) play more important
                           (IGS) partners invested in a new and improved  roles than other parts of its genome (or genes).
                           genetic evaluation software called BOLT to replace  This is unique to the IGS Single-step method com-
                           the Cornell EPD evaluation system. Among other  pared to other organizations where the DNA
                           benefits, this enables the use of Single-step methods  marker information is used to adjust relationships
                           for incorporating genomic information into the  among the individuals.
                           National Cattle Evaluation instead of the blending      Are the BOLT EPDs more accurate than the
                           approach. In the Single-step process, the DNA  Cornell derived EPDs in the real world? To answer
                           marker genotypes are directly incorporated into the  this question, we performed a validation study
                           genetic evaluation along with the phenotypes   where we ran a data set (pedigree, performance,
                           (performance data) and the pedigree. As a result,  genomics) through both genetic evaluation
                           the genomic data has an impact not only on the  software (BOLT and Cornell) to compare the accura-
                           genotyped individual, but also on all the relatives of  cies of the EPDs produced. To enable a fair
                           that genotyped individual. This allows for the  comparison, we removed the performance records
                           genomic information to improve the accuracy of  of animals born in 2015 and later from the evalua-
                           non-genotyped relatives.                    tion in both systems to be used as progeny
                               The Multi-breed Genectic Evaluation powered  performance records for validation purposes. Table 1
                           by BOLT squeezes more information from the  shows the correlations between EPDs and progeny
                           DNA markers by allowing for certain DNA mark-  performance of non-genotyped sires evaluated in
                           ers to have a larger influence on predicting the  both systems that have progeny born in 2015 or later
                           genetic merit of an animal than other DNA mark-  with recorded birth, weaning, and yearling weights.
                           ers while some DNA markers to have no effects on  As shown, the BOLT EPDs are more accurate than
                           trait(s) of interest. This model is closer to what we  Cornell EPDs as the correlations are higher for BOLT
                           expect based on biology where some parts of an  EPDs with sires’ progeny performances.


                            Table 1- The correlations between BOLT vs. Cornell EPDs with progeny performance of
                                   non-genotyped sires for birth, weaning and yearling weights.

                                        Trait                           N of Sires          BOLT         Cornell

                                        Birth weight               29,154            0.34         0.27
                                        Weaning weight        21,571            0.29         0.19
                                        Yearling weight          10,849            0.26         0.20
                               To have a better sense of improvement in accuracies, we ranked sires based on
                           either BOLT or Cornell EPDs for birth, weaning and yearling weights. Then, we
                           compared the progeny performance of the top 1% vs bottom 1% ranked sires for
                           each trait in each evaluation system. The results are shown in Table 2.

                Table 2 – The average progeny performance of non-genotyped sires ranked based on
                        either BOLT or Cornell EPDs.                                                     BOLT
                                                                                                          vs
                                                                            BOLT                                                   Cornell  Cornell
                     Trait      N of sires          Top 1%      Bottom 1%    Difference        Top 1%      Bottom 1%     Difference        Top 1%

                    BW      29,151            74.2        95.9            +21.7             76.0         92.8             +16.8             +3.1
                    WW     21,571            655.3      546.2          +109.1           638.5       558.6           +79.9             +16.8
                    YW      10,849            1,151.5   915.8          +235.7           1,111.3    895.6           +215.7           +40.2
                               As you can see, the BOLT EPDs ranked sires more accurately than EPDs from the
                           Cornell software, where progenies of top 1% ranked sires based on the BOLT EPDs
                           are +3.1, +16.8 and +40.2 lb heavier at birth, weaning and yearling. These results
                           are exciting, and show that our investment in new technology will lead to more
                           accurate EPDs.    ◆
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